Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.243381 29.144502 33.358342 38.237092 43.718434 49.674729 56.624732
2025-02-02 20.286451 26.106995 32.979066 41.632897 52.175755 64.535653 80.049044
2025-02-09 16.210736 22.786565 31.123857 42.335849 56.866706 74.895488 98.765141
2025-02-16 13.191257 20.015261 29.211050 42.278283 60.097879 83.244345 115.220939
2025-02-23 10.869868 17.678529 27.369820 41.827758 62.435098 90.274144 130.141003
2025-03-02 9.133145 15.839305 25.875226 41.518808 64.709938 97.137687 145.047938
2025-03-09 7.750840 14.285254 24.534726 41.172821 66.739537 103.618375 159.646661
2025-03-16 6.203222 12.191881 22.058552 38.759946 65.379612 104.999911 166.894122
2025-03-23 5.624411 11.643691 21.958825 40.006899 69.607073 114.745782 186.786167
2025-03-30 5.204373 11.306715 22.150207 41.703816 74.611618 125.897067 209.321073
2025-04-06 4.451243 10.219971 20.901394 40.826744 75.337208 130.426558 221.929291
2025-04-13 3.679597 8.961317 19.175723 38.916425 74.137429 131.761066 229.529543
2025-04-20 3.503200 8.937767 19.811223 41.408902 80.829945 146.542958 259.842349
2025-04-27 3.450523 9.184557 21.015586 45.099462 89.957875 165.982504 298.927715
2025-05-04 3.095885 8.691637 20.688810 45.863118 93.931116 177.053520 324.922454
2025-05-11 2.714130 8.058808 19.984548 45.803466 96.368037 185.612592 347.138219
2025-05-18 2.352540 7.398561 19.124366 45.321121 97.938593 192.703278 367.159657
2025-05-25 2.052566 6.831281 18.384341 44.990130 99.736597 200.247613 388.277162
2025-06-01 1.790847 6.308442 17.667933 44.619364 101.398451 207.596685 409.359421
2025-06-08 1.441302 5.448156 16.021593 42.032743 98.405846 206.211796 414.823308
2025-06-15 1.341854 5.313773 16.130462 43.369675 103.485923 220.086508 448.354879
2025-06-22 1.273021 5.261286 16.438814 45.188401 109.681902 236.364043 486.952224
2025-06-29 1.092390 4.797239 15.608455 44.248460 109.964912 241.317321 504.864061